Learning to Use Fibonacci Retracements
Many traders and investors use Fibonacci ratios to project future levels of support and resistance calculated on previous price moves in forex markets. In simple words, past price movements in the forex market determine where the Fibonacci levels will be calculated.
Fibonacci analysis is an exercise in identifying and determining the support and resistance during both the trend retracement and the trend continuations. It is based on a series of numbers and ratios derived from the Fibonacci sequence. This remarkable sequence was discovered by an Italian mathematician Leonardo Pisano.
The sequence begins with the three numbers 0, 1 and 1. After that, the next number in the sequence is obtained by adding the previous two numbers. For example, by taking the first two numbers 0 &1; the next number obtained is 0+1=1 and by taking the next two recent numbers, 1 & 1; the next number obtained will be 1+1=2. So the Fibonacci sequence develops like this: 0,1,1,2,3,5,8,13,21,34,55.
The fascinating and interesting property about this sequence is that the ratio of numbers at specified intervals is consistently the same, no matter how high you go in the sequence. We get two very important ratios. These two ratios appear over and over again in nature such as pine cones, shells, sunflowers etc. These two important ratios are also used in currency markets.
The first ratio is 38.2%. It is calculated by dividing any number in the Fibonacci sequence by the number two places higher in the sequence. For example, in the above Fibonacci sequence, divide 21 by 55 (55 is two places higher than 21) you get 21/55=38.2%.
The second important ratio is 61.8% obtained by dividing any number in the Fibonacci sequence by the next number in the sequence. For example, divide 34 by 55 (the next number), you get 34/54=61.8%.
Trends in currency markets dont go in a straight line. Up trends never go straight up and down trends never go straight down, the price will always trace along the way as buyers and sellers enter and exit the markets. The important question in every investors mind is how far these retracements will penetrate into the previous price movement. This is where the Fibonacci ratios become useful and is extensively applied.
Most investors use the three additional ratios of 0%, 50% and 100% in conjunction with the two primary Fibonacci ratios to round out the retracement analysis tools. Two secondary Fibonacci ratios (161.8% and 261.8%) are also used in the trend continuation projections. The secondary ratio 161.8% is obtained by dividing any number in the sequence by the number preceding it. In the sequence dividing 55 by 34 gives 55/34=161.8%. Similarly the ratio 261.8% is obtained by dividing any number in the sequence by the two numbers preceding it. Divide 55 by 21, you will get 55/21=261.8%.
These ratios are used by forex traders in making entry and exit decisions. The ratio 38.2% is used as an entry point in a trending market and the ratio 0% as the exit point. The important question is why markets react to these levels. Dont forget, markets are just people buying and selling. So if many people start believing in a thing, it becomes a self fulfilling prophecy. Since most of the traders use Fibonacci ratios in setting their entry and exit targets, the markets starts reacting to these levels. - 23196
Fibonacci analysis is an exercise in identifying and determining the support and resistance during both the trend retracement and the trend continuations. It is based on a series of numbers and ratios derived from the Fibonacci sequence. This remarkable sequence was discovered by an Italian mathematician Leonardo Pisano.
The sequence begins with the three numbers 0, 1 and 1. After that, the next number in the sequence is obtained by adding the previous two numbers. For example, by taking the first two numbers 0 &1; the next number obtained is 0+1=1 and by taking the next two recent numbers, 1 & 1; the next number obtained will be 1+1=2. So the Fibonacci sequence develops like this: 0,1,1,2,3,5,8,13,21,34,55.
The fascinating and interesting property about this sequence is that the ratio of numbers at specified intervals is consistently the same, no matter how high you go in the sequence. We get two very important ratios. These two ratios appear over and over again in nature such as pine cones, shells, sunflowers etc. These two important ratios are also used in currency markets.
The first ratio is 38.2%. It is calculated by dividing any number in the Fibonacci sequence by the number two places higher in the sequence. For example, in the above Fibonacci sequence, divide 21 by 55 (55 is two places higher than 21) you get 21/55=38.2%.
The second important ratio is 61.8% obtained by dividing any number in the Fibonacci sequence by the next number in the sequence. For example, divide 34 by 55 (the next number), you get 34/54=61.8%.
Trends in currency markets dont go in a straight line. Up trends never go straight up and down trends never go straight down, the price will always trace along the way as buyers and sellers enter and exit the markets. The important question in every investors mind is how far these retracements will penetrate into the previous price movement. This is where the Fibonacci ratios become useful and is extensively applied.
Most investors use the three additional ratios of 0%, 50% and 100% in conjunction with the two primary Fibonacci ratios to round out the retracement analysis tools. Two secondary Fibonacci ratios (161.8% and 261.8%) are also used in the trend continuation projections. The secondary ratio 161.8% is obtained by dividing any number in the sequence by the number preceding it. In the sequence dividing 55 by 34 gives 55/34=161.8%. Similarly the ratio 261.8% is obtained by dividing any number in the sequence by the two numbers preceding it. Divide 55 by 21, you will get 55/21=261.8%.
These ratios are used by forex traders in making entry and exit decisions. The ratio 38.2% is used as an entry point in a trending market and the ratio 0% as the exit point. The important question is why markets react to these levels. Dont forget, markets are just people buying and selling. So if many people start believing in a thing, it becomes a self fulfilling prophecy. Since most of the traders use Fibonacci ratios in setting their entry and exit targets, the markets starts reacting to these levels. - 23196
About the Author:
Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. He is interested in day trading and swing trading stocks and currencies. Learn Forex Nitty Gritty. Read about Trend Forex System. Try Netpicks Forex Signal Service.