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Thursday, October 8, 2009

Currency Profile Of Euro (Part III)

By Ahmad Hassam

Forex market participants widely watch the comments by the members of the Governing Council of ECB. These comments frequently tend to move the Euro. ECB publishes monthly bulletin detailing analysis of economic conditions. This bulletin can give important signals to changes in the monetary policy.

Euro has become the second major global currency. All major euro crosses are highly liquid and heavily traded. Now EUR/USD cross is the most liquid currency. The movements of EUR/USD currency pair are used as the primary gauge to judge the health of both European and the United States health. Since it is the US Dollar fundamentals that have dictated the movements in the EUR/USD pair from 2003-2008, Euro is also known as the anti-dollar.

EUR/JPY and EUR/CHF are very liquid pairs too and are used to judge the health of the Japanese and Swiss economies. EUR/USD and EUR/GBP are great trading currencies as they have tight spreads, make orderly moves and rarely gap.

Euro was launched in 1999. It is still a new currency. Euro has unique risks. There are number of risks unique to the Euro. The most important is the exposure to the economic, political and social development of 15 member countries.

If a member country drops Euro and reverts back to its original national currency because it believes that ECB actions are not in its best interests, it could affect the stability of the entire region although more countries are expected to join EMU.

ECB has the power to determine monetary policy for its 15 member countries. However, we can say Euro is a currency without a country. With that comes the political pressure of 15 governments. This political pressure frequently tests the actions of ECB.

The present global financial crisis is unlike any in the past. However, the rapid response of ECB to the present global financial crisis in the shape of deep liquidity injections has transformed its reputation. The spread between 10 year US Treasuries and 10 year bunds can indicate Euro sentiment.

Another important interest rate that you must know as a forex trader is the Euro Interbank Offer Rate (Euribor). This is the rate offered from one large bank to another on interbank term deposits. Traders and investors tend to compare the Euribor futures rate with the Eurodollars futures rate.

Lower spreads between these two interest rates make the European assets less attractive. Higher spreads between the two rates makes the European fixed income assets more attractive. Merger and Acquisition activities between US and European multinationals have important implications for EUR/USD pair. Large deals have often significant short term impact on EUR/USD if in cash.

The largest countries in EMU are Germany, France and Italy. Study of the economic data of these three large countries is also important in determining the market bias for Euro. Important indicators for Euro are Harmonized Index of Consumer prices (HICP), M3, German Unemployment, Preliminary GDP that includes France, Germany and Netherlands, German Industrial Production, Individual country budget deficit. - 23196

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Currency Technical Analysis - Where To Begin

By Terry Henderson

The time tested and most profitable method to trade currencies are the Currency technical analysis. Let us learn to utilize the Currency trading charts in a correct way for around 30 minutes per day and benefit with a second or a even a life changing income.

The main advantages of using these charts is that it helps someone spot trends and price patterns. If you are paying attention to this and learn to use them correctly, you dont need to follow financial news stories. All you need to do is follow your charts and learn to read them.

There are key factors to learn the proper strategy for using these charts. Trends tend to show up in repeating patterns, so using them correctly means big profits. Plan your strategies in a simple, easy to understand way and it will have fewer factors to keep track of, and therefore offer you an easier way to turn those high profits.

First, you need to chose how to spot basic chart patterns and learn to use these indicators to confirm any trading signals. What you use is up to you, but I suggest using three specific ones. The ones I use are Bollinger Bands, which show volatility, and stochastic and RSI, which show the strength of price fluctuations. Learning how to use these three indicators only takes 24 hours or less and can be an essential item in learning about currency trading.

The surest way to spend a lot of time and realize little, or no, monetary gain is to get lured into day trading or scalping. Stay away from this kind of market noise. Remember, you'll see the moneymakers that have staying power and allow you to reap a big reward on the currency charts you've constructed. These are the movements that last for weeks and months, and provide you with gains and leverage.

Never, ever rely on your "intuition" to make a predication of market movement. Looking into that crystal ball is the biggest error a new currency trader can make, and one a lot of the "newbies" fall for, just as the they are feeling more comfortable in the trading environment. You'll almost never be able to buy when the currency is lowest or sell when it's value is the greatest, and believing you can is no more than false hope or playground guesses, and it's a bad way to trade.

Trade breakouts are the way which millionaire traders and currency charts users trade. A keen analysis of currency trend shows a bull trend which culminates into new market highs and goes on breaking to new highs as the trend grows. Big trends are wise way to trade and all big trends reward you as well as they are characterized by big risks.

Remember this rule: If you want to make money with just a little time investment, about thirty minutes a day, learn to build and read your charts, identify breakout trends and exercise discipline when the crystal ball starts to gleam. - 23196

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Forex Day Trading One Hot Market

By Chris Green

With these economic times, forex day trading has had even more people joining in to make money between currency pairs. This is no surprise as it can be a quick way to make money. With a lot of people concerned about job loss, they are driven to look for alternative sources of income.

If your starting in forex day trading with a vision of making profits quickly, it can be done. In a matter of a few weeks, someone that is new to the forex market can be making profits. Your success would depend on how much time and effort you put into your trading and your preparation to trades. For someone that is starting out in forex, the potential profits can be alarming but don't let this get to your head, focus on your trading not the money.

New people to forex day trading have a tendency to rush into things, when they should know what they are doing in a little more detail first. The most common first time mistake is rushing into trades and not knowing where you really are on the trade. This can result in an account that is quickly depleted. It can get to your head seeing these profit potentials and make you rush, but it is important to realize that there is always room to make money.

In forex day trading it is common for traders to get in the mindset of making money quick and building up a large trading account. This is a good attitude as long as you use it as a dedication factor, and not an over powering trade mind set that makes you trade in over your head. Be sure that you have a strategy down for your trading and that it is not a random trade impulse. Know where your limits are, and know when to end a trade. Sitting in a trade for too long can end up in you losing out on profits or even losing money. As long as you win more than you lose, and your trading account is increasing, you are doing well.

When trading your forex day trading in real time, it is important to watch an active trade and make sure that you are making a profit. Keep in mind that you have not actually made the profit until the trade is closed and you have taken your profits. Staying in a trade for too long hoping that it gos up even more, can result in the currency dropping and your profits vanishing as well. Don't be afraid to settle on a profit. Whether you are starting out or a long time trader, there is something just for you to give you a jump start ahead of the rest. Don't be a failing statistic forex trader, get results, make profits, and take action today to achieve your success! - 23196

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Stock Options Game First Steps

By Jackie Weller

Stock options are a contract that allows the buyer or seller of an option the right to exercise the sale or purchase of a stock for a contracted underlying price within a certain time period. Market conditions and future direction is analyzed in the Wall Street Journal, IBD, Stock Option Trader and other financial news services.

Call and put options deliver large leverage to the holder who can play either side of the fence. The call option gives the holder the right to buy the underlying asset whereas the put option allows the holder to sell the underlying asset. Many good books about Wall Street stock option trading are available in bookstores or even available free from your broker.

A call option provides the right to buy a specified quantity of a security at a set agreed amount, known as the 'strike price' at some time on or before expiration, while buying a put option provides the right to sell. Upon the option holder's choice to exercise the option, the party who sold, or wrote the option, must fulfill the terms of the contract.

Many models have been developed that accurately evaluate the value of an option through statistical models. This is an important consideration since risk needs to be quantified given the volatile nature of many markets and the great leverage inherent with options.

Low cost leveraging on a ?sure? bet is desirable, especially if one can get a handle on risk. Options provide that vehicle, and if used employing prudent controls, can be highly profitable. Low-cost leverage can be used to protect a position as well as take advantage of a developing market situation.

Various financial indicators can used to gage technical market direction. Instead, find the ones that work best for you and your strategic style, and learn to master them. Relying on news sources such as the Wallstreet Journal, option stock trading services are very helpful. Most successful financial experts found that the best trading systems are the simplest ones.

Market behave in a cyclical manner and behave in a wave composed of individual data points. Leading and lagging indicators signal direction of the wave and helps positioning strategies.

Oscillators are useful indicators for market direction. Momentum indicators, although lagging in their construction, are helpful when combined with oscillators. You want to catch a trend early and not enter it when the large gains have already passed by. - 23196

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Are Your Options Losing Value?

By Donald Scott

Today we'll be discussing the differences between investing with stocks and options. Let's first tackle the less complex investing vehicle, stocks. Most of the world already knows, but in case you don't, stocks are directional trading vehicles. If we are long the stock, then we make money when the prices of the asset rises, and we lose capital as the underlying asset drops in price. We can also sell a stock short in which the profit comes when the stock falls. In any case when investing with stocks, the direction is what matters. We don't need to worry about market volatility or time.

So we all know that stocks are simple, directional investments, but what about options? Well, trading options is actually trading 3 Dimensions...time, volatility and direction. I guess this makes options three times more complex than stocks. Now, let's look at a trading example to compare the difference. Look at this scenario:

What if Google moves up 25% in 2 years? Well, those stock owners would have just made 25% by holding on to their investment all that time. However, if an option trader held on to his Call options for 2 years, most likely there would be very little if any gain on the trade.

We know why the stock holder made money, but why would the option buyer lose money? Everyone thinks there is leverage in options, and it's true, but in this case, the leverage didn't work out for 2 reasons. One, the asset took too long to move, so the option time value decayed. Secondly, the asset moved up, causing its volatility level to fall, and this also helped the option price to move down.

So, hopefully you can see that in order to trade options, we really need to be educated. Entry level option traders usually buy Calls and Puts, and they don't understand why they lose money when the underlying asset goes the direction they are hoping. Remember, when trading options, you are not trading a single dimension; you are really trading a 3 dimensional asset. Finally, the exciting thing about options is that once you understand them, they allow you to be very flexible, creative and can be traded in any type of market. - 23196

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